The new year has kicked off with some contrasting cross-currents for enterprise cloud aficianados and neophytes alike. On the positive side of the balance sheet, there’s a new and surprising Gartner prediction that a fifth of enterprises will have migrated all their IT to the cloud by 2012. I say surprising, not because I disagree with it, but because it originates from Gartner, whose analysts usually remain more conservative. “No IT assets in two years? That prediction seems pretty extreme, even for the most enthusiastic cloud-embracing enterprises,” says Joe McKendrick.
I myself have been making bullish predictions for cloud in a webcast discussion this week (recording here) with fellow Enterprise Irregular bloggers Vinnie Mirchandani and Dennis Howlett alongside Appirio‘s Narinder Singh, followed up by blog post musing on the credibility of private cloud.
On the negative side, there were two significant outages at cloud providers. Salesforce.com had a poor start to 2010 with a one-hour outage on the first full working day of the year. As SearchCloudComputing’s report points out, “The service interruption ensures the company’s uptime for 2010 will not rise above 99.9% availability.” Meanwhile, on Jan 2, Ruby-on-Rails platform-as-a-service provider Heroku, which hosts its service on high-end machine instances at Amazon EC2, was down for close to an hour when a routing glitch switched that entire layer of EC2 machines off air…
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